Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Parayko | 15 | 20 | 122 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 144 |
| Jonny Brodzinski | 10 | 7 | 59 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 17.0 | 8.1 | 109 |
| Blake Lizotte | 10 | 9 | 47 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 21.3 | 10.4 | 105 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 7 | 13 | 58 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 12.1 | 5.9 | 103 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 11 | 26 | 56 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 19.6 | 9.9 | 98 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 14 | 33 | 117 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 12.0 | 6.4 | 88 |
| Tyler Seguin | 9 | 11 | 43 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 20.9 | 11.2 | 87 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 27 | 16 | 126 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 21.4 | 11.5 | 86 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 16 | 7 | 77 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 20.8 | 11.2 | 86 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 30 | 36 | 139 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 21.6 | 11.7 | 85 |
| Cam Fowler | 9 | 25 | 78 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 79 |
| Trevor Lewis | 5 | 5 | 47 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 10.6 | 6.1 | 75 |
| Jake Evans | 12 | 19 | 71 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 16.9 | 9.8 | 73 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 14 | 16 | 71 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 19.7 | 12.0 | 65 |
| Anze Kopitar | 19 | 43 | 89 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 21.4 | 13.2 | 62 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 18 | 16 | 103 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 17.5 | 10.8 | 61 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 19 | 11 | 101 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 18.8 | 11.8 | 60 |
| Nick Perbix | 5 | 13 | 59 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 60 |
| Tom Wilson | 32 | 29 | 156 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 20.5 | 12.9 | 59 |
| Nate Schmidt | 5 | 13 | 60 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 57 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 20 | 26 | 172 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 11.6 | 7.4 | 56 |
| Ryan Donato | 29 | 30 | 168 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 17.3 | 11.0 | 56 |
| Ryan McLeod | 19 | 29 | 85 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 22.4 | 14.4 | 55 |
| Seth Jones | 9 | 23 | 111 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 8.1 | 5.2 | 55 |
| Rickard Rakell | 32 | 32 | 180 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 17.8 | 11.6 | 53 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 11 | 18 | 148 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 52 |
| Nick Paul | 22 | 18 | 127 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 17.3 | 11.5 | 51 |
| John Tavares | 35 | 34 | 177 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 19.8 | 13.2 | 50 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 4 | 9 | 62 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Zach Aston-Reese | 4 | 11 | 94 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4.3 | 8.6 | -50 |
| Alexander Holtz | 3 | 8 | 62 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 10.1 | -52 |
| Brent Burns | 5 | 20 | 166 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 6.4 | -53 |
| David Savard | 1 | 14 | 45 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4.8 | -54 |
| Miles Wood | 2 | 2 | 53 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 8.1 | -54 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 2 | 8 | 60 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 7.4 | -55 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 3 | 30 | 106 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 6.6 | -57 |
| Daniel Sprong | 2 | 3 | 42 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 11.4 | -58 |
| Mattias Janmark | 2 | 15 | 47 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4.3 | 10.1 | -58 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 13 | 58 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.4 | -61 |
| Andrew Peeke | 1 | 15 | 72 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3.7 | -62 |
| Mathew Dumba | 1 | 7 | 43 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 6.7 | -65 |
| Tomas Nosek | 1 | 8 | 40 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 7.4 | -66 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 1 | 5 | 69 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 4.4 | -67 |
| Josh Manson | 1 | 14 | 65 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4.8 | -68 |
| Carl Grundstrom | 2 | 6 | 72 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 9.4 | -70 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 16 | 75 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4.4 | -70 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 2 | 4 | 80 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 8.4 | -70 |
| Jacob Trouba | 1 | 13 | 104 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 4.3 | -78 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 0 | 5 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| Josh Mahura | 0 | 8 | 57 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| Connor Clifton | 0 | 14 | 55 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.5 | -100 |
| P.O Joseph | 0 | 3 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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